Rubio Takes Pole Position in 2028 Prediction Markets

As of Wednesday morning, United States Secretary of State Marco Rubio is the favorite to win the 2028 presidential election on the prediction market Kalshi.

Rubio narrowly leads Vice President J.D. Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom. Rubio stands at 19 percent, compared to 18 percent for both Vance and Newsom.

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Vance and Newsom have long been considered the leading candidates to represent their respective parties, which makes Rubio’s rise to the top notable.


Ed Morrissey

Rubio has already declared that he will not challenge Vance if the VP decides to run. That could change, of course, but Rubio isn't acting like someone who's focused on anything but the present. Actually, neither is Vance, but I think Rubio would have to be drafted into a primary fight. 

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